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External Migration October 2001
Commentary ...
There were 142,100 short-term overseas visitor arrivals in New Zealand in October 2001, down 4,500 or 3 percent on October 2000. This reflects the effects of the September 2001 terrorist attacks in the United States and the collapse of Ansett Australia. Despite the decrease in visitor numbers, the total number of days that visitors who arrived in New Zealand in October 2001 intended to stay was up 7 percent on October 2000, from 3.06 million to 3.29 million days. This was due to an increase in the average length of stay from 21 days to 23 days.
During the year ended October 2001, there were 1.931 million visitor arrivals, up 192,000 or 11 percent on the previous October year.
Annual Visitor Arrivals
October year 1991 - 2001

| Average Visitor Stay
November 1999 - October 2001

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- Visitors by source country
In October 2001, there were fewer visitors from the Americas (down 4,100), Europe (down 1,100) and Asia (down 500), but more visitors from Australia (up 300) compared with October 2000. Within these regions, there were fewer visitors from the United States (down 3,400 or 20 percent), Japan (down 2,000 or 20 percent), Thailand (down 1,200 or 31 percent), the United Kingdom (down 700 or
5 percent) and Singapore (down 600 or 21 percent). The decreases were partly offset by increases from China (up 1,700 or 62 percent), Korea (up 1,500 or 34 percent) and India (up 400 or 64 percent).
Visitors from Australia
Month of October

| Visitors from the USA
Month of October

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In the year ended October 2001, there were more visitor arrivals from Australia (up 69,900), the United Kingdom (up 25,300), Korea (up 21,200), China (up 20,200) and Japan (up 12,600) compared with the previous October year. There were also increases of over 4,000 from French Polynesia, Canada and India. Decreases in visitors were recorded from the United States (down 7,500) and Thailand (down 4,200).
(Note: Detailed visitor data is available in the October 2001 edition of the Statistics New Zealand report Tourism - International Visitor Arrivals.)
- New Zealand resident departures
New Zealand residents departed on 101,000 short-term overseas trips in October 2001, down 9,100 or 8 percent on October 2000. There were significant decreases in trips to Australia (down 3,300 or 5 percent), the United States (down 2,000 or 33 percent) and the United Kingdom (down 900 or 24 percent). When compared with the same month of the previous year, departures to the United Kingdom and the United States have decreased since April 2001 and January 2001, respectively.
In the year ended October 2001, New Zealand resident departures numbered 1.304 million, up 65,000 or 5 percent on the year ended October 2000. There were more trips to Australia (up 25,700), Fiji (up 17,500), China (up 3,900) and Thailand (up 2,200) but fewer trips to the United States (down 7,400), the United Kingdom (down 6,900) and Taiwan (down 2,200).
New Zealand Resident Monthly Short-term Departures
October 1991 - October 2001

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- Permanent and long-term migration
In October 2001, permanent and long-term (PLT) arrivals exceeded departures by 3,800, compared with a net gain of 400 in October 2000. Compared with October 2000, PLT arrivals increased by 2,000 while PLT departures fell by 1,400. PLT departures to Australia in October 2001 were down 1,000 on the same month of the previous year, possibly due to a weakening economic and employment situation in Australia.
PLT arrivals of New Zealand citizens in October 2001 were up 500 or 30 percent on October 2000, with the majority of the increase from Australia and the United Kingdom. PLT arrivals of non-New Zealand citizens were up 1,500 or 41 percent, with the largest increases from China (up 400) and the United Kingdom (up 300). New Zealand citizens contributed almost all of the decrease in PLT departures, down 1,400 or 34 percent.
In the year ended October 2001, PLT arrivals exceeded departures by 1,700, compared with a net outflow of 9,300 migrants in the previous October year. This was the first net inflow in an October year since 1997. There was a net outflow to Australia (27,100), but net inflows from China (9,500), India (3,600), South Africa (2,700), Fiji (2,100) and Japan (1,900) in the year ended October 2001.
Annual PLT Migration
October 1991-2001

| Annual Net PLT Migration
October 1991-2001

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Introduction
The re-introduction of the birthplace question to the arrival and departure cards was discussed in the April 2001 issue of the external migration Hot Off The Press. The May 2001 issue presented an analysis of permanent and long-term (PLT) departures by birthplace, with special emphasis on those migrating to Australia, for the period September 2000 to May 2001. This section updates and extends the scope of the earlier analysis. It covers the 12 month period ended October 2001 and includes an analysis of the birthplace of PLT arrivals and short-term visitor arrivals.
The processing of birthplace data for the various categories of travellers (overseas visitors, New Zealand residents, and PLT migrants) commenced in July 2000 for arrivals and in September 2000 for departures. Initially, birthplace data was not available for a large percentage of the departing travellers (39 percent in September 2000) because the old departure card, which did not carry the birthplace question, continued to be used along with the new departure card. In November 2000, the non-response rate was 16.5 percent, by May 2001 it had dropped to 3.0 percent and it has since fallen further to 1.7 percent in October 2001. This compares well with the 1.6 percent non-response for arrivals in the same month. For the year ended October 2001, the non-response rates for total arrivals and total departures were 1.4 and 5.0 percent, respectively.
Country of Birth, Not Specified/Not Collected
November 2000 - October 2001

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Permanent and long-term departures
In the October 2001 year, there were 75,000 PLT departures from New Zealand. Of the 70,700 who stated a birthplace, 62 percent were born in New Zealand, 15 percent in Asia, 6 percent in the United Kingdom and 4 percent in Australia. While more than half (53 percent) of all departures stated Australia as their country of next permanent residence, 82 percent of those born in Australia and one-third of those born in the United Kingdom did so (see table below). These proportions have varied little since the May 2001 analysis.
PLT Departures by Country of Birth and Country of Next Permanent Residence
October 2001 year

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In early 2001, significant changes were made to the benefit eligibility provisions for New Zealanders living in Australia. These changes were signalled in December 2000 and came into effect on 26 February 2001. There was also an entitlement for New Zealanders moving to Australia to live before 26 May 2001 to claim Australian residence. The effects of these changes were most evident from December 2000 to February 2001 and again in May 2001.
When compared with the same month of the previous year, there were increases in the number of New Zealand citizens departing to Australia in December 2000 (up 36 percent), January 2001 (up 24 percent), February 2001 (up 96 percent) and May 2001 (up 27 percent). During these months the proportion of New Zealand citizens departing to Australia who were born overseas varied between 33 and 40 percent, as the following graph shows, compared with an average of 20 percent during the rest of the October 2001 year. After May 2001, the proportion of overseas-born New Zealand citizens departing to Australia returned to a level similar to that of overseas-born New Zealand citizens departing to other countries, as was the case prior to December 2000.
Proportion of New Zealand Citizen PLT Departures Born Overseas
by Country of Next Permanent Residence (CNPR)
November 2000 - October 2001

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Permanent and long-term arrivals
There were 76,700 PLT arrivals in New Zealand in the year ended October 2001. Of these, 99 percent (75,900) stated a country of birth. The largest proportion were born in Asia (38 percent), followed by New Zealand (24 percent), the United Kingdom (12 percent) and Australia (5 percent). Two-fifths or 11,600 of those born in Asia were aged between 15 and 24 years and probably came here for long-term study.
An analysis by citizenship shows that PLT arrivals comprised 22,400 (29 percent) New Zealand citizens and 54,300 (71 percent) non-New Zealand citizens. Almost 80 percent of the New Zealand citizens were born in New Zealand, with a further 7 percent born in the United Kingdom, and 2 percent born in Australia and in Samoa. Two-thirds of the New Zealand citizens born in Australia and one-third of those born in the United Kingdom were under the age of 15 years, compared with just 12 percent of those born in New Zealand. It is probable that the overseas-born children were travelling with New Zealand-born parents.
PLT Arrivals by Country of Birth and Citizenship
October 2001 year

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Over one-half of the non-New Zealand citizen arrivals were born in countries within Asia, including China (10,900), India (4,400), Japan (3,600) and Korea (2,100). A further 30 percent were born in four countries outside Asia – the United Kingdom (7,700), Australia (3,000), South Africa (2,700) and Fiji (2,200).
Short-term visitor arrivals
In the October 2001 year, just over one-quarter (27 percent) of all overseas visitor arrivals were born in Asia and a further 24 percent were born in Europe. A further one-fifth (19 percent) were born in Australia, a much lower proportion than the share of visitors from Australia (34 percent). This was because just under one-half (46 percent) of the 633,600 visitors from Australia were born in other countries, such as New Zealand (150,500 or 24 percent) and countries in Europe (73,900 or
12 percent). Overall, New Zealand-born visitors accounted for 226,600 or 12 percent of all visitor arrivals.
For technical information contact:
Ian Richards or Mansoor Khawaja
Christchurch 03 374 8700
Email: ian_richards@stats.govt.nz
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